CNN knowledge man Harry Enten provided a blunt evaluation for Democrats chances of holding onto the Senate in subsequent year’s elections: not great.
The assessment came hours after Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) introduced he will no longer run for reelection.
“I’ve made some of the toughest decisions of my lifestyles,” Manchin stated, “and determined that I may not be working for re-election to the US Senate.” His seat will almost no doubt be received by a Republican in deep-pink West Virginia, which voted for former President Donald Trump by means of about forty points in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.
Democrats control the Senate with a mere 51 to 49 majority.
Appearing on CNN NewsNight hosted via Abby Phillip, Enten broke down the Senate map:
There are seven Democratic Senate seats up in 2024 in states Trump won at the least once… There’s Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Montana. So we have a slew of those Democratic seats in states that Trump one once or more.
Examine that to the Republican facet. You understand how many GOP seats are up in 2024 that Trump misplaced at the least as soon as? Zero. A grand complete of zero.
So, Democrats have far extra vulnerable floor than Republicans do. Just about all the Republican seats are in safe Republican areas. And right here’s the other factor to keep in mind what that’s so essential – as a result of polarization turns into any such factor in our politics. The same birthday party won the Senate and presidential race within the state in 2016 for the first time ever? It used to be all of them. It was once 34 out of 34. In 2020, it was 34 out of 35. Simplest Susan Collins in Maine was the exception.
So, in fact that going into 2024, I’d a lot slightly be a Republican working for Senate than a Democrat, or at least put my money on them gaining the bulk.
Watch above by way of CNN.
The publish ‘I’d Much Slightly Be a Republican’: CNN’s Information Guru Breaks Down Grim 2024 Senate Map for Democrats first seemed on Mediaite.